What the author already knew
The dry run proved that signal coverage — not granularity — was what kept 57% of the routing on low-confidence guesses. The fix was almost free. The person creating a unit of work already knows whether it's design, implementation, an audit, or mechanical labor; they know it for the cost of typing one word. So Baton discontinued title-scanning entirely and made a declared verb the single authoritative signal — then graduated it to the framework.
What the dry run would have spent
Baton's second phase finally looked at money — but it routed nothing. It classified the 762 work units StrayMark had already recorded in Sentinel, recommended a tier for each, and printed what a routing policy would have spent versus all-frontier. The headline was a ~93% illustrative ceiling. The honest reading inverted the experiment's own hypothesis — granularity was never the lever. Signal coverage was.
What the spec path only proved existed
A fourth experiment started with an economic problem — when the subscription subsidies end, all-frontier-all-the-time stops being affordable — and immediately ran into a structural one. You can't route work to a cheaper model if the work is drifting from its own plan; a cheaper router over forgotten intent only automates the drift faster. So Baton's first move touches no models at all. It reads the plan StrayMark had only ever proved *existed*.